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Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (002415) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd.

002415Market cap $45BPrice $4.9

Country🇨🇳China

SectorTechnology

IndustryElectronic Equipment

Manufactures surveillance cameras and security systems used by governments and businesses worldwide. Controls roughly 20% of the global video surveillance market despite facing bans in several Western countries.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+8%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+16%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+30%9

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3+49%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin20%7

Net Income Margin17%7

Free Cash Flow Margin21%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.610

Efficiency

ROE20%8

ROA14%9

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG96

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)107

P/BV3.64

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd125

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.7%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%6

3 month return-5%5

YTD return+15%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh85%7

1 year return+2%5

Long term

3 year return+8%3

5 year return-32%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.58

Volatility27%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin21%8

Free Cash Flow Yield6.7%8

Quality

ROCE21%9

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.610

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

002415Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.

Revenue FY25$13.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+30%9

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+49%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 30%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 64% of companies worldwide.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

002415Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.

Total return Current160%

Price return Current115%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%6

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+15%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%7

1-year return+2%5

3-year return+8%3

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+15%).

WATCH

It's up 2% over the past year, but 15% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-2%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+7.5% over three years and -32% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hikvision. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

002415Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.

Revenue FY25$13.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+30%9

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+49%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 30%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 64% of companies worldwide.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

002415Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co.

Total return Current160%

Price return Current115%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%6

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+15%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%7

1-year return+2%5

3-year return+8%3

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+15%).

WATCH

It's up 2% over the past year, but 15% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-2%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+7.5% over three years and -32% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hikvision. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community