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AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited (302132) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company Limited

302132Market cap $23BPrice $8.9

Country🇨🇳China

SectorTechnology

IndustryElectronic Equipment

Manufactures fighter jets and aerospace equipment for China's military, building the J-10 and J-20 stealth aircraft. As a key defense contractor, it gives China one of only a handful of nations producing fifth-generation fighters domestically.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-27%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+239%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+15%7

EPS Growth Y+2+13%7

EPS Growth Y+3+16%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin5%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-6%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.010

Efficiency

ROE16%7

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+WEAK33

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)392

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)321

P/BV7.42

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd4651

EV/EBIT Fwd332

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-2.7%2

Dividend Yield0.0%1

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%4

3 month return+4%7

YTD return-26%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh63%3

1 year return-36%1

Long term

3 year return+36%5

5 year return+270%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.58

Volatility35%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-6%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-2.7%2

Quality

ROCE13%7

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.010

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

302132AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company

Revenue FY25$10.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+239%10

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+15%7

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 239%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 15%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 239%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

302132AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company

Total return Current316%

Price return Current305%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE37 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%3

1-year return-36%1

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+270%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +36% over three years and +270% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+4%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 36% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AVIC Chengdu. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

302132AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company

Revenue FY25$10.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+239%10

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+15%7

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 239%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 15%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 239%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

302132AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company

Total return Current316%

Price return Current305%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE37 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%3

1-year return-36%1

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+270%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +36% over three years and +270% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+4%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 36% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AVIC Chengdu. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community