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Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited (168) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited

168Market cap $8.58BPrice $5.0

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryBeverages

Brews and sells beer across China, with its flagship Tsingtao lager dating back to 1903, making it one of the country's oldest brands. It's the second-largest brewer domestically and a major export ambassador for Chinese beer worldwide.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+2%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+23%8

EPS Growth Y+2+4%5

EPS Growth Y+3+4%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin16%6

Net Income Margin15%7

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-4.010

Efficiency

ROE15%6

ROA9%8

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+STRONG75

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)127

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd410

EV/EBIT Fwd510

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.0%6

Dividend Yield6.8%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%6

3 month return-11%3

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh75%4

1 year return-17%3

Long term

3 year return-28%1

5 year return-23%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta-0.110

Volatility24%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Yield5.0%6

Quality

ROCE15%7

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA-4.010

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

168Tsingtao Brewery Company

Revenue FY25$4.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+23%8

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E+4%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 0.6%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow around 0.6%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 91% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 0.6%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

168Tsingtao Brewery Company

Total return Current60.0%

Price return Current33.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high75%4

1-year return-17%3

3-year return-28%1

5-year return-23%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-28% over three years and -23% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 17% over the past year, now 25% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

168Tsingtao Brewery Company

Revenue FY25$4.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+23%8

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E+4%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 0.6%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow around 0.6%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 91% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 0.6%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

168Tsingtao Brewery Company

Total return Current60.0%

Price return Current33.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high75%4

1-year return-17%3

3-year return-28%1

5-year return-23%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-28% over three years and -23% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 17% over the past year, now 25% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Tsingtao Brewery Company Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community