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Daiwa House Industry Co., Ltd. (1925) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Daiwa House Industry Co., Ltd.

1925Market cap $17BPrice $13.7

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Builds houses, apartments, and entire commercial developments across Japan, then expands into hotels, resorts, and infrastructure abroad. It's Japan's largest homebuilder, constructing enough prefabricated houses yearly to fill a small city.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-59%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-2%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-61%1

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Margin-5%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.92

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE38

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-11.4%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-5%5

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh78%5

1 year return-15%3

Long term

3 year return+18%4

5 year return+42%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility19%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-5%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-11.4%1

Quality

ROCE11%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA3.92

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1925Daiwa House Industry Co.

Revenue FY26$35.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E-61%1

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

EPS growth, FY29E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 61% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Modest Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-5%5

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return-15%3

3-year return+18%4

5-year return+42%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+18% over three years and +42% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 15% over the past year, now 22% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Daiwa House. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1925Daiwa House Industry Co.

Revenue FY26$35.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E-61%1

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

EPS growth, FY29E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 61% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Modest Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-5%5

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return-15%3

3-year return+18%4

5-year return+42%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+18% over three years and +42% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 15% over the past year, now 22% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Daiwa House. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community