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Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd. (8801) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Mitsui Fudosan Co., Ltd.

8801Market cap $24BPrice $9.1

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Develops, leases, and manages office towers, shopping malls, and residential properties across Japan and beyond. It's the country's largest real estate developer, with Tokyo Midtown and countless skyline-defining projects carrying its name.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-15%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+9%6

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin14%6

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA9.81

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+WEAK25

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)127

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV1.29

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd125

EV/EBIT Fwd165

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-2.4%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-7%4

YTD return-19%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh68%3

1 year return-14%3

Long term

3 year return+38%5

5 year return+88%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.58

Volatility31%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-2.4%2

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA9.81

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

8801Mitsui Fudosan Co.

Revenue FY26$17.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

EPS growth, FY29E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 77% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-19%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high68%3

1-year return-14%3

3-year return+38%5

5-year return+88%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+38% over three years and +88% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 14% over the past year, now 32% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-19%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Mitsui Fudosan. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

8801Mitsui Fudosan Co.

Revenue FY26$17.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

EPS growth, FY29E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 77% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-7%4

YTD return-19%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high68%3

1-year return-14%3

3-year return+38%5

5-year return+88%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+38% over three years and +88% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and over three months (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 14% over the past year, now 32% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-19%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Mitsui Fudosan. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community