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China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited (2319) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited

2319Market cap $8.66BPrice $2.3

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryFood

Produces milk, yogurt, and ice cream that dominate Chinese grocery shelves, ranking among the country's top two dairy giants. Backed by state-owned COFCO, it turned China's dairy trust crisis into a growth story, now selling billions of liters yearly.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-4%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)na–

Rev CAGR (3y)na–

Rev CAGR (5y)na–

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1na–

EPS Growth Y+2na–

EPS Growth Y+3na–

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Marginna–

Free Cash Flow Marginna–

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.96

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROAna–

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+

Not enough data to calculate the GEAR+ rating.

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Dividend Yield3.4%8

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%5

3 month return+1%7

YTD return+22%8

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh92%9

1 year return+25%8

Long term

3 year return-24%2

5 year return-58%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.29

Volatility28%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Marginna–

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Quality

ROCEna–

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA0.96

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2319China Mengniu Dairy Company

Revenue FY25$11.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-4%2

Revenue, next 1Yna–

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna–

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY+1na–

EPS growth, FY+2na–

EPS growth, FY+3na–

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 4%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2319China Mengniu Dairy Company

Total return Current35.3%

Price return Current20.2%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return+1%7

YTD return+22%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%9

1-year return+25%8

3-year return-24%2

5-year return-58%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 25% over the past year, now 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+1%) and so far this year (+22%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-24% over three years and -58% over five), behind 80% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2319China Mengniu Dairy Company

Revenue FY25$11.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-4%2

Revenue, next 1Yna–

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna–

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY+1na–

EPS growth, FY+2na–

EPS growth, FY+3na–

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 4%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2319China Mengniu Dairy Company

Total return Current35.3%

Price return Current20.2%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return+1%7

YTD return+22%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high92%9

1-year return+25%8

3-year return-24%2

5-year return-58%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 25% over the past year, now 8% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+1%) and so far this year (+22%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-24% over three years and -58% over five), behind 80% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Mengniu Dairy Company Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community