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Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (600887) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co., Ltd.

600887Market cap $26BPrice $4.1

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryFood

Makes milk, yogurt, and ice cream that dominate Chinese grocery shelves. Yili is China's largest dairy producer, and one of the top five dairy companies on the planet — built almost entirely on domestic demand from 1.4 billion consumers.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+8%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-2%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-1%3

EPS Growth Y+2+20%8

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.75

Efficiency

ROE19%8

ROA6%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG78

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV3.25

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd128

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield10.6%9

Dividend Yield4.5%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+3%9

3 month return+8%8

YTD return-1%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh96%10

1 year return+5%5

Long term

3 year return+18%4

5 year return-16%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta-0.210

Volatility18%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Free Cash Flow Yield10.6%9

Quality

ROCE20%9

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.75

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600887Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co.

Revenue FY25$16.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-1%3

EPS growth, FY27E+20%8

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 1% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600887Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co.

Total return Current111%

Price return Current60.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+8%8

YTD return-1%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high96%10

1-year return+5%5

3-year return+18%4

5-year return-16%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 5% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+8%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+18% over three years and -16% over five), behind 60% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yili. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600887Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co.

Revenue FY25$16.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-1%3

EPS growth, FY27E+20%8

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 1% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600887Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group Co.

Total return Current111%

Price return Current60.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+8%8

YTD return-1%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high96%10

1-year return+5%5

3-year return+18%4

5-year return-16%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 5% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+8%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-1%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+18% over three years and -16% over five), behind 60% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yili. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community