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Aluminum Corporation of China Limited (2600) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Aluminum Corporation of China Limited

2600Market cap $21BPrice $1.0

Country🇨🇳China

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Mines, refines, and sells aluminum and alumina across China's industrial supply chain. It's state-backed and among the world's largest producers, supplying the metal behind everything from soda cans to skyscrapers and electric vehicles.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-7%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-7%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+85%10

EPS Growth Y+2+0%4

EPS Growth Y+3-26%2

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin17%7

Net Income Margin7%4

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.29

Efficiency

ROE22%8

ROA14%9

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+AVERAGE60

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)510

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)710

P/BV1.77

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd310

EV/EBIT Fwd410

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield26.4%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-12%2

3 month return+4%7

YTD return-34%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh52%2

1 year return-4%4

Long term

3 year return+106%8

5 year return+61%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.52

Volatility52%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Free Cash Flow Yield26.4%10

Quality

ROCE24%9

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA0.29

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2600Aluminum Corporation of China

Revenue FY25$34.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK16 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+85%10

EPS growth, FY27E+0%4

EPS growth, FY28E-26%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 3%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 0.1%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 26% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2600Aluminum Corporation of China

Total return Current159%

Price return Current137%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-12%2

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-34%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-4%4

3-year return+106%8

5-year return+61%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +106% over three years and +61% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+4%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 4% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-12%) and so far this year (-34%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Chalco. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2600Aluminum Corporation of China

Revenue FY25$34.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK16 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+85%10

EPS growth, FY27E+0%4

EPS growth, FY28E-26%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 3%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 0.1%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 26% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2600Aluminum Corporation of China

Total return Current159%

Price return Current137%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-12%2

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-34%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-4%4

3-year return+106%8

5-year return+61%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +106% over three years and +61% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+4%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 4% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-12%) and so far this year (-34%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Chalco. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community