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MonotaRO Co., Ltd. (3064) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

MonotaRO Co., Ltd.

3064Market cap $6.64BPrice $13.6

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorIndustrials

IndustryTrading & Distribution

MonotaRO sells industrial supplies and tools online to Japanese businesses, stocking over 20 million products through an Amazon-backed platform. Small factories and workshops order screws, gloves, and machinery parts that once took days to source, now delivered overnight.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+10%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+14%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+13%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+18%8

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin14%6

Net Income Margin10%5

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

Efficiency

ROE30%9

ROA20%10

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+VERY STRONG90

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)263

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)232

P/BV8.72

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd194

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield2.4%4

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+9%10

3 month return+8%8

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh86%7

1 year return+0%5

Long term

3 year return+49%5

5 year return-9%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility41%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield2.4%4

Quality

ROCE38%10

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

3064MonotaRO Co.

Revenue FY25$2.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+18%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 13%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE65 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+9%10

3-month return+8%8

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high86%7

1-year return+0%5

3-year return+49%5

5-year return-9%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+9%) and over three months (+8%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+49% over three years and -9.5% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 0% over the past year, but 14% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MonotaRO Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

3064MonotaRO Co.

Revenue FY25$2.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+18%8

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 13%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE65 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+9%10

3-month return+8%8

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high86%7

1-year return+0%5

3-year return+49%5

5-year return-9%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+9%) and over three months (+8%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+49% over three years and -9.5% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 0% over the past year, but 14% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on MonotaRO Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community