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Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co., Ltd. (600010) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co., Ltd.

600010Market cap $14BPrice $0.3

Country🇨🇳China

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Mines and processes iron ore and steel products across Inner Mongolia, sitting on China's largest rare earth reserves as a byproduct of its operations. That geological accident makes it a quiet powerhouse in the global rare earth supply chain.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-18%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-3%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)na1

Rev CAGR (5y)na1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-0%3

EPS Growth Y+20%4

EPS Growth Y+30%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin3%2

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA7.11

Efficiency

ROE1%2

ROA0%2

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK2

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)2631

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)2631

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd242

EV/EBIT Fwd721

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.2%5

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-6%4

YTD return-12%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh61%2

1 year return-12%3

Long term

3 year return+22%4

5 year return-33%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.86

Volatility41%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield3.2%5

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA7.11

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600010Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co.

Revenue FY25$9.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-3%2

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-0%3

EPS growth, FY27E0%4

EPS growth, FY28E0%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 0%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600010Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co.

Total return Current10.7%

Price return Current8.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-6%4

YTD return-12%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-12%3

3-year return+22%4

5-year return-33%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and over three months (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+22% over three years and -33% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 12% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-12%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Baotou Steel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600010Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co.

Revenue FY25$9.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-3%2

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-0%3

EPS growth, FY27E0%4

EPS growth, FY28E0%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to hold flat, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 0%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600010Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co.

Total return Current10.7%

Price return Current8.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-6%4

YTD return-12%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-12%3

3-year return+22%4

5-year return-33%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and over three months (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+22% over three years and -33% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 12% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-12%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Baotou Steel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community