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China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd (600111) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

600111Market cap $19BPrice $5.1

Country🇨🇳China

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Mines and processes rare earth elements that power EVs, wind turbines, and smartphone magnets worldwide. As China's largest rare earth producer, it controls a resource Beijing treats as a geopolitical weapon in trade wars.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-31%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+32%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+17%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+13%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+94%10

EPS Growth Y+2+28%8

EPS Growth Y+3+19%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin7%4

Free Cash Flow Margin0%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.76

Efficiency

ROE14%6

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE39

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)272

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV4.93

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd212

EV/EBIT Fwd213

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.2%3

Dividend Yield0.4%1

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%3

3 month return-23%1

YTD return-23%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh54%2

1 year return-27%2

Long term

3 year return+63%6

5 year return-18%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility48%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin0%3

Free Cash Flow Yield0.2%3

Quality

ROCE13%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA0.76

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600111China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Revenue FY25$6.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG83 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+32%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+17%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+94%10

EPS growth, FY27E+28%8

EPS growth, FY28E+19%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 17%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 17%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 28%/yr vs revenue 17%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600111China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Total return Current202%

Price return Current190%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%3

3-month return-23%1

YTD return-23%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high54%2

1-year return-27%2

3-year return+63%6

5-year return-18%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+63% over three years and -18% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 27% over the past year, now 46% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-23%) and so far this year (-23%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Northern Rare Earth. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600111China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Revenue FY25$6.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG83 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+32%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+17%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+94%10

EPS growth, FY27E+28%8

EPS growth, FY28E+19%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 83% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 17%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 17%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 28%/yr vs revenue 17%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600111China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Total return Current202%

Price return Current190%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%3

3-month return-23%1

YTD return-23%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high54%2

1-year return-27%2

3-year return+63%6

5-year return-18%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+63% over three years and -18% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 27% over the past year, now 46% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-23%) and so far this year (-23%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Northern Rare Earth. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community