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Hainan Airlines Holding Co., Ltd. (600221) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Hainan Airlines Holding Co., Ltd.

600221Market cap $7.87BPrice $0.2

Country🇨🇳China

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAirlines

Flies passengers across China and beyond, anchoring Hainan province's aviation network. Once part of a debt-laden conglomerate that collapsed into state-led restructuring, it now operates as a leaner carrier riding China's rebounding domestic travel boom.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-23%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+43%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+8%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+10%7

EPS Growth Y+2+2%4

EPS Growth Y+3+2%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin3%2

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA7.21

Efficiency

ROE54%10

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK17

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)253

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)242

P/BV9.52

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd163

EV/EBIT Fwd332

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield26.8%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%4

3 month return-10%3

YTD return-33%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh63%2

1 year return-25%2

Long term

3 year return-18%2

5 year return-46%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.86

Volatility29%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Yield26.8%10

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA7.21

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600221Hainan Airlines Holding Co.

Revenue FY25$9.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+43%10

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+2%4

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 2%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 2%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600221Hainan Airlines Holding Co.

Total return Current−60.6%

Price return Current−61.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-33%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return-25%2

3-year return-18%2

5-year return-46%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-18% over three years and -46% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 25% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%) and so far this year (-33%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hainan Airlines Holding Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600221Hainan Airlines Holding Co.

Revenue FY25$9.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+43%10

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+2%4

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 43%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 2%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 2%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600221Hainan Airlines Holding Co.

Total return Current−60.6%

Price return Current−61.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-33%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return-25%2

3-year return-18%2

5-year return-46%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-18% over three years and -46% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 25% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%) and so far this year (-33%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hainan Airlines Holding Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community