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Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. (601211) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Guotai Haitong Securities Co., Ltd.

601211Market cap $42BPrice $2.5

Country🇨🇳China

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Provides investment banking, brokerage, and wealth management services across China's massive capital markets. One of the country's top securities firms handling billions in daily trading volume for retail and institutional clients.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-3%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+20%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+41%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+13%7

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%4

Net Income Margin37%9

Free Cash Flow Margin81%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE9%4

ROA2%3

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG95

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)89

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV0.710

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd09

EV/EBIT Fwd09

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%6

3 month return-11%3

YTD return-16%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh77%4

1 year return-8%4

Long term

3 year return+25%4

5 year return+11%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin81%10

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Quality

ROCE7%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

601211Guotai Haitong Securities Co.

Revenue FY25$8.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+20%9

Revenue, next 1Y+41%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+13%7

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 20%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 20%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

601211Guotai Haitong Securities Co.

Total return Current20.4%

Price return Current−6.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%4

1-year return-8%4

3-year return+25%4

5-year return+11%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+25% over three years and +11% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 8% over the past year, now 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months and so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Guotai Haitong. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

601211Guotai Haitong Securities Co.

Revenue FY25$8.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+20%9

Revenue, next 1Y+41%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+13%7

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 20%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 20%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

601211Guotai Haitong Securities Co.

Total return Current20.4%

Price return Current−6.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-16%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high77%4

1-year return-8%4

3-year return+25%4

5-year return+11%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+25% over three years and +11% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 8% over the past year, now 23% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-16%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Guotai Haitong. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community