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CITIC Securities Company Limited (600030) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

CITIC Securities Company Limited

600030Market cap $58BPrice $3.8

Country🇨🇳China

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

CITIC Securities operates China's largest investment bank, handling IPOs, mergers, and trading for corporations and wealthy clients. Controls roughly 10% of China's entire securities market through sheer scale and government connections.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-6%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+31%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+10%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+41%9

EPS Growth Y+2+6%6

EPS Growth Y+3+5%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%5

Net Income Margin44%10

Free Cash Flow Margin162%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE12%5

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG96

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)99

P/BV1.19

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd09

EV/EBIT Fwd09

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-8%4

YTD return-8%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh85%7

1 year return-11%3

Long term

3 year return+28%4

5 year return+20%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility23%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin162%10

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%9

Quality

ROCE10%4

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600030CITIC Securities Company

Revenue FY25$10.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG76 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+31%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+41%9

EPS growth, FY27E+6%6

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 76% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 14%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr), so margins are under pressure.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: earnings are set to grow slower than sales.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600030CITIC Securities Company

Total return Current96.8%

Price return Current63.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK33 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%7

1-year return-11%3

3-year return+28%4

5-year return+20%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+28% over three years and +20% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 11% over the past year, now 15% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on CITIC Securities. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600030CITIC Securities Company

Revenue FY25$10.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG76 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+31%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+41%9

EPS growth, FY27E+6%6

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 76% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 14%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr), so margins are under pressure.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: earnings are set to grow slower than sales.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600030CITIC Securities Company

Total return Current96.8%

Price return Current63.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK33 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%7

1-year return-11%3

3-year return+28%4

5-year return+20%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+28% over three years and +20% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 11% over the past year, now 15% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on CITIC Securities. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community