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China Overseas Land & Investment Limited (688) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

China Overseas Land & Investment Limited

688Market cap $18BPrice $1.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Develops and sells residential and commercial properties across mainland China and Hong Kong. Backed by state-owned parent China State Construction, it's one of the few property giants that avoided the debt crisis crushing rivals like Evergrande.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-7%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-3%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)na–

Rev CAGR (3y)na–

Rev CAGR (5y)na–

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1na–

EPS Growth Y+2na–

EPS Growth Y+3na–

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Marginna–

Free Cash Flow Marginna–

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA5.81

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROAna–

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+

Not enough data to calculate the GEAR+ rating.

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+3%9

3 month return+7%8

YTD return+10%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh81%5

1 year return-3%4

Long term

3 year return-6%2

5 year return-7%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Marginna–

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Quality

ROCEna–

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA5.81

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

688China Overseas Land & Investment

Revenue FY25$24.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-3%2

Revenue, next 1Yna–

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna–

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY+1na–

EPS growth, FY+2na–

EPS growth, FY+3na–

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow around 0%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

688China Overseas Land & Investment

Total return Current−4.5%

Price return Current−37.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+7%8

YTD return+10%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return-3%4

3-year return-6%2

5-year return-7%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+7%).

WATCH

It's down 3% over the past year, now 19% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+10%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-6.5% over three years and -6.7% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on COLI. Get the full investment case.

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

688China Overseas Land & Investment

Revenue FY25$24.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-3%2

Revenue, next 1Yna–

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGRna–

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY+1na–

EPS growth, FY+2na–

EPS growth, FY+3na–

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow around 0%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

688China Overseas Land & Investment

Total return Current−4.5%

Price return Current−37.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return+7%8

YTD return+10%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return-3%4

3-year return-6%2

5-year return-7%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and over three months (+7%).

WATCH

It's down 3% over the past year, now 19% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+10%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-6.5% over three years and -6.7% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on COLI. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community