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Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd. (688303) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd.

688303Market cap $5.09BPrice $2.4

Country🇨🇳China

SectorTechnology

IndustrySemiconductors

Manufactures polysilicon, the raw material that turns sand into solar panels and semiconductor chips. It's one of the world's largest producers, feeding China's dominance in solar supply chains that power most of the planet's new clean energy capacity.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-41%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-46%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-45%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+22%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+20%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+20%5

EPS Growth Y+3+35%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-43%1

Net Income Margin-40%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-61%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-4%2

ROA-4%1

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK12

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)510

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)203

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd721

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-7.1%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-0%6

YTD return-40%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh47%1

1 year return-44%1

Long term

3 year return-60%1

5 year return-74%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.29

Volatility48%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-61%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-7.1%1

Quality

ROCE-4%1

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

688303Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd.

Revenue FY25$692M

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE61 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-46%1

Revenue, next 1Y-45%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+20%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 22%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 20%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 61% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 46%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

688303Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd.

Total return Current−72.1%

Price return Current−75.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-40%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high47%1

1-year return-44%1

3-year return-60%1

5-year return-74%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-60% over three years and -74% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 44% over the past year, now 53% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-40%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Daqo. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

688303Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd.

Revenue FY25$692M

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE61 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-46%1

Revenue, next 1Y-45%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+20%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 22%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 20%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 61% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 46%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

688303Xinjiang Daqo New Energy Co.,Ltd.

Total return Current−72.1%

Price return Current−75.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-40%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high47%1

1-year return-44%1

3-year return-60%1

5-year return-74%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-60% over three years and -74% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 44% over the past year, now 53% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-40%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Daqo. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community