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Longfor Group Holdings Limited (960) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Longfor Group Holdings Limited

960Market cap $4.77BPrice $0.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Develops residential and commercial properties across China while running one of the country's largest shopping mall portfolios. Unlike most debt-heavy peers, it survived the property crash by keeping leverage low and leaning on rental income for stability.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-49%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-27%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-18%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-13%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+1%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+20%5

EPS Growth Y+3+48%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%2

Net Income Margin-0%2

Free Cash Flow Margin17%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA200.71

Efficiency

ROE-0%2

ROA-0%2

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK5

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)210

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)79

P/BV0.210

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwd3621

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield43.1%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-15%1

3 month return-17%2

YTD return-38%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh48%1

1 year return-49%1

Long term

3 year return-57%1

5 year return-81%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.94

Volatility46%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin17%8

Free Cash Flow Yield43.1%10

Quality

ROCE0%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA200.71

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

960Longfor Group Holdings

Revenue FY25$13.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-27%1

Revenue, next 1Y-18%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-13%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+48%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 27%/yr over the last 3 years, and it is still set to shrink 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 97% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 27%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to shrink 13%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 0.8%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business whose decline is easing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

960Longfor Group Holdings

Total return Current−24.8%

Price return Current−47.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return-17%2

YTD return-38%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high48%1

1-year return-49%1

3-year return-57%1

5-year return-81%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-57% over three years and -81% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 49% over the past year, now 52% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%), over three months (-17%) and so far this year (-38%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Longfor Group Holdings Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

960Longfor Group Holdings

Revenue FY25$13.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-27%1

Revenue, next 1Y-18%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-13%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+48%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue fell 27%/yr over the last 3 years, and it is still set to shrink 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 97% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 27%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to shrink 13%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 0.8%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business whose decline is easing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

960Longfor Group Holdings

Total return Current−24.8%

Price return Current−47.1%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return-17%2

YTD return-38%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high48%1

1-year return-49%1

3-year return-57%1

5-year return-81%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-57% over three years and -81% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 49% over the past year, now 52% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%), over three months (-17%) and so far this year (-38%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Longfor Group Holdings Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community