Loading stock…

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc. (ABG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.

ABGMarket cap $3.05BPrice $169.8

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells and services new and used vehicles through hundreds of dealerships across the US, plus finance, insurance, and repair add-ons. One of the largest auto retailers in the country, betting big on digital showrooms to reshape how America buys cars.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-30%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-1%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+7%6

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+14%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.62

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK32

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)610

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)510

P/BV0.810

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield18.6%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-22%1

3 month return-19%2

YTD return-27%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return-30%2

Long term

3 year return-19%2

5 year return-17%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Yield18.6%10

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA4.62

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ABGAsbury Automotive Group

Revenue FY25$18.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+7%6

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-22%1

3-month return-19%2

YTD return-27%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-30%2

3-year return-19%2

5-year return-17%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-19% over three years and -17% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 30% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-22%), over three months (-19%) and so far this year (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ABGAsbury Automotive Group

Revenue FY25$18.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+7%6

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-22%1

3-month return-19%2

YTD return-27%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-30%2

3-year return-19%2

5-year return-17%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-19% over three years and -17% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 30% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-22%), over three months (-19%) and so far this year (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Asbury Automotive Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community