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Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC (ADNOCDIST) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

ADNOCDISTMarket cap $14BPrice $1.1

Country🇦🇪United Arab Emirates

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Runs the largest retail fuel network across the UAE, selling petrol, diesel, and convenience goods through hundreds of stations. Backs it with a virtual monopoly-like grip on domestic distribution, fueling millions of daily commutes and road trips.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+15%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+22%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+31%9

EPS Growth Y+2-11%3

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.96

Efficiency

ROE112%10

ROA19%10

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+VERY STRONG89

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)175

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV14.81

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd116

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.5%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-0%8

3 month return+3%7

YTD return+8%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh97%10

1 year return+12%6

Long term

3 year return+30%4

5 year return+25%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.29

Volatility18%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Yield7.5%8

Quality

ROCE41%10

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA0.96

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADNOCDISTAbu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

Revenue FY25$9.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+22%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+31%9

EPS growth, FY27E-11%3

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 5%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 11% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: the long-term outlook is only average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ADNOCDISTAbu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

Total return Current126%

Price return Current51.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG72 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-0%8

3-month return+3%7

YTD return+8%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high97%10

1-year return+12%6

3-year return+30%4

5-year return+25%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 12% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+30% over three years and +25% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADNOCDISTAbu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

Revenue FY25$9.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+22%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+31%9

EPS growth, FY27E-11%3

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 5%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 11% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: the long-term outlook is only average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ADNOCDISTAbu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC

Total return Current126%

Price return Current51.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG72 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-0%8

3-month return+3%7

YTD return+8%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high97%10

1-year return+12%6

3-year return+30%4

5-year return+25%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 12% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+30% over three years and +25% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Abu Dhabi National Oil Company for Distribution PJSC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community