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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Allegiant Travel Company

ALGTMarket cap $2.11BPrice $77.5

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAirlines

Flies budget travelers from small US cities straight to vacation hotspots, skipping crowded hubs entirely. Bundles flights with hotels and rental cars like a travel agency, and often flies routes no other airline touches.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+21%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+42%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+22%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+86%10

EPS Growth Y+3+34%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin8%4

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-6%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.32

Efficiency

ROE-1%2

ROA0%2

Earnings Stability11

GEAR+AVERAGE36

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)109

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV1.29

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-7.9%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-1%7

3 month return-30%1

YTD return-9%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh63%2

1 year return+25%7

Long term

3 year return+2%3

5 year return-59%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.62

Volatility61%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-6%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-7.9%1

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability11

Net Debt/EBITDA4.32

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ALGTAllegiant Travel

Revenue FY25$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG88 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%5

Revenue, next 1Y+42%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+86%10

EPS growth, FY28E+34%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 88% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 22%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 34%/yr vs revenue 22%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-30%1

YTD return-9%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return+25%7

3-year return+2%3

5-year return-59%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

It's up 25% over the past year, but 37% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+2.1% over three years and -59% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-30%) and so far this year (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Allegiant Travel Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ALGTAllegiant Travel

Revenue FY25$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG88 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%5

Revenue, next 1Y+42%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+22%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+86%10

EPS growth, FY28E+34%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 88% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 22%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 34%/yr vs revenue 22%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-30%1

YTD return-9%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return+25%7

3-year return+2%3

5-year return-59%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

It's up 25% over the past year, but 37% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+2.1% over three years and -59% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-30%) and so far this year (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Allegiant Travel Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community