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United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

United Airlines Holdings, Inc.

UALMarket cap $36BPrice $111.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAirlines

Flies passengers and cargo across the largest global route network of any US carrier, connecting more destinations than Delta or American. Its Star Alliance membership and Chicago-Newark-Houston hubs make it a dominant force in international business travel.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+13%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+16%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+1%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-5%3

EPS Growth Y+2+49%9

EPS Growth Y+3+21%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin7%3

Net Income Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

Efficiency

ROE23%8

ROA4%6

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+AVERAGE54

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV2.26

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.0%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+0%8

3 month return-13%3

YTD return+0%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh81%5

1 year return+16%7

Long term

3 year return+168%9

5 year return+126%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.62

Volatility48%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield7.0%8

Quality

ROCE8%5

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA1.45

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

UALUnited Airlines Holdings

Revenue FY25$59.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-5%3

EPS growth, FY27E+49%9

EPS growth, FY28E+21%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 9%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 5% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 1%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return-13%3

YTD return+0%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return+16%7

3-year return+168%9

5-year return+126%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +168% over three years and +126% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%).

WATCH

It's up 16% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-13%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on United Airlines Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

UALUnited Airlines Holdings

Revenue FY25$59.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+1%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-5%3

EPS growth, FY27E+49%9

EPS growth, FY28E+21%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 9%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 5% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 1%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE64 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return-13%3

YTD return+0%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return+16%7

3-year return+168%9

5-year return+126%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +168% over three years and +126% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%).

WATCH

It's up 16% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-13%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on United Airlines Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community