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Alpha Dhabi Holding PJSC (ALPHADHABI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Alpha Dhabi Holding PJSC

ALPHADHABIMarket cap $20BPrice $2.0

Country🇦🇪United Arab Emirates

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConglomerates

Runs a sprawling portfolio spanning construction, energy, healthcare, and real estate across the UAE and beyond. Backed by Abu Dhabi's royal-linked IHC, it's grown into one of the region's biggest conglomerates almost entirely through relentless acquisitions.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-27%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+25%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+10%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+39%9

EPS Growth Y+2+21%8

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin18%7

Net Income Margin14%7

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

Efficiency

ROE18%7

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY STRONG98

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)610

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)510

P/BV1.29

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd410

EV/EBIT Fwd510

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.2%8

Dividend Yield2.7%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-1%7

3 month return-8%4

YTD return-20%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh71%4

1 year return-28%2

Long term

3 year return-62%1

5 year return-71%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility35%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield7.2%8

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ALPHADHABIAlpha Dhabi Holding PJSC

Revenue FY25$21.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG73 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+25%9

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+39%9

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 73% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ALPHADHABIAlpha Dhabi Holding PJSC

Total return Current−73.0%

Price return Current−73.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-20%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-28%2

3-year return-62%1

5-year return-71%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-62% over three years and -71% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 28% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-20%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Alpha Dhabi Holding PJSC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ALPHADHABIAlpha Dhabi Holding PJSC

Revenue FY25$21.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG73 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+25%9

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+39%9

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 73% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 13%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 25%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ALPHADHABIAlpha Dhabi Holding PJSC

Total return Current−73.0%

Price return Current−73.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-20%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-28%2

3-year return-62%1

5-year return-71%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-62% over three years and -71% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 28% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-20%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Alpha Dhabi Holding PJSC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community