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Modon Holding PSC (MODON) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Modon Holding PSC

MODONMarket cap $13BPrice $0.8

Country🇦🇪United Arab Emirates

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConglomerates

Runs a sprawling portfolio spanning real estate, hospitality, and infrastructure across the UAE, betting on Abu Dhabi's growth. Backed by state ties, it turns diversification into a shield against single-sector risk that most conglomerates can't match.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-18%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

100

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+173%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+75%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+54%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+38%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+129%10

EPS Growth Y+2+93%10

EPS Growth Y+3+62%10

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin21%8

Net Income Margin25%8

Free Cash Flow Margin-11%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

Efficiency

ROE8%4

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY STRONG97

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)410

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)210

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd59

EV/EBIT Fwd610

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.7%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+5%9

3 month return-0%6

YTD return-11%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh79%5

1 year return-15%3

Long term

3 year return-16%2

5 year return-31%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.57

Volatility28%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-11%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.7%2

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MODONModon Holding PSC

Revenue FY25$3.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG100 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+173%10

Revenue, next 1Y+75%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+54%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+38%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+129%10

EPS growth, FY27E+93%10

EPS growth, FY28E+62%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 173%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 54%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 38%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 93%/yr vs revenue 54%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 173%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 54%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MODONModon Holding PSC

Total return Current159%

Price return Current133%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK33 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+5%9

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-11%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-15%3

3-year return-16%2

5-year return-31%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+5%).

WATCH

It's down 15% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and -31% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-11%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Modon Holding PSC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MODONModon Holding PSC

Revenue FY25$3.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG100 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+173%10

Revenue, next 1Y+75%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+54%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+38%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+129%10

EPS growth, FY27E+93%10

EPS growth, FY28E+62%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 173%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 54%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 38%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 93%/yr vs revenue 54%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 173%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 54%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MODONModon Holding PSC

Total return Current159%

Price return Current133%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK33 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+5%9

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-11%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-15%3

3-year return-16%2

5-year return-31%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+5%).

WATCH

It's down 15% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and -31% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-11%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Modon Holding PSC. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community