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Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.

AMRMarket cap $2.16BPrice $170.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Mines and exports metallurgical coal used to make steel, supplying manufacturers worldwide. It's one of the largest met coal producers in the US, riding global infrastructure demand while renewable energy debates swirl around its core product.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+11%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-20%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-1%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+20%5

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-2%1

Net Income Margin-2%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-0%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.410

Efficiency

ROE-3%2

ROA-2%2

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+VERY WEAK7

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)991

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd135

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.1%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-24%1

3 month return+13%9

YTD return-15%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh67%3

1 year return+0%5

Long term

3 year return-30%1

5 year return+196%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.32

Volatility57%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-0%3

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.1%3

Quality

ROCE-2%1

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources

Revenue FY25$2.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-20%1

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 9%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 35% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 20%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Modest Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-24%1

3-month return+13%9

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return+0%5

3-year return-30%1

5-year return+196%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+13%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-30% over three years and +196% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 0.3% over the past year, but 33% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-24%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month and so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AMRAlpha Metallurgical Resources

Revenue FY25$2.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-20%1

Revenue, next 1Y-1%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 9%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 35% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 20%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Modest Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-24%1

3-month return+13%9

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high67%3

1-year return+0%5

3-year return-30%1

5-year return+196%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+13%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-30% over three years and +196% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 0.3% over the past year, but 33% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-24%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community