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Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Ameresco, Inc.

AMRCMarket cap $1.16BPrice $21.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConstruction & Engineering

Designs, builds, and finances energy-efficiency and renewable projects for governments, schools, and utilities — then gets paid from the savings they generate. It's essentially a green energy company that never has to sell you solar panels, just results.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-45%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+11%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+12%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+12%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+46%9

EPS Growth Y+2+34%9

EPS Growth Y+3+49%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin7%3

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-23%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA9.11

Efficiency

ROE2%2

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK18

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd144

EV/EBIT Fwd233

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-39.9%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-13%3

YTD return-25%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh49%1

1 year return-43%1

Long term

3 year return-34%1

5 year return-62%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.62

Volatility69%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-23%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-39.9%1

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA9.11

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AMRCAmeresco

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG74 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+12%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+46%9

EPS growth, FY27E+34%9

EPS growth, FY28E+49%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 12%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 46%/yr vs revenue 12%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high49%1

1-year return-43%1

3-year return-34%1

5-year return-62%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-34% over three years and -62% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 43% over the past year, now 51% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%), over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ameresco, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AMRCAmeresco

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG74 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+12%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+46%9

EPS growth, FY27E+34%9

EPS growth, FY28E+49%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 12%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 46%/yr vs revenue 12%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high49%1

1-year return-43%1

3-year return-34%1

5-year return-62%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-34% over three years and -62% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 43% over the past year, now 51% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%), over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ameresco, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community