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APi Group Corporation (APG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

APi Group Corporation

APGMarket cap $17BPrice $40.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConstruction & Engineering

Installs and maintains fire safety, security, and specialty industrial systems across North America and Europe. Runs one of the most fragmented markets in construction services, buying up local players to build a recurring-revenue empire most investors have never heard of.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+17%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+14%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+11%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+14%7

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin9%4

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.34

Efficiency

ROE-7%1

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK32

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)223

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)184

P/BV4.93

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd184

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.9%5

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+0%8

3 month return-3%5

YTD return+5%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh80%5

1 year return+14%6

Long term

3 year return+130%8

5 year return+193%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility30%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield3.9%5

Quality

ROCE11%6

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA2.34

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

APGAPi Group

Revenue FY25$7.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE63 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 63% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 6%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 9%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return-3%5

YTD return+5%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high80%5

1-year return+14%6

3-year return+130%8

5-year return+193%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +130% over three years and +193% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%).

WATCH

It's up 14% over the past year, but 20% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%) and so far this year (+5%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on APi Group. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

APGAPi Group

Revenue FY25$7.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE63 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 63% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 6%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 9%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return-3%5

YTD return+5%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high80%5

1-year return+14%6

3-year return+130%8

5-year return+193%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +130% over three years and +193% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%).

WATCH

It's up 14% over the past year, but 20% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%) and so far this year (+5%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on APi Group. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community