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AutoNation, Inc. (AN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

AutoNation, Inc.

ANMarket cap $5.16BPrice $156.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells and services new and used vehicles through hundreds of dealerships nationwide, making it one of the largest automotive retailers in the US. It also cashes in on financing, insurance, and parts — often earning more per car from those add-ons than the sale itself.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-27%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+1%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+29%8

EPS Growth Y+2+6%5

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin0%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA7.01

Efficiency

ROE33%9

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK20

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)710

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV2.36

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.2%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-25%1

3 month return-17%2

YTD return-24%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return-28%2

Long term

3 year return+14%4

5 year return+32%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin0%3

Free Cash Flow Yield0.2%3

Quality

ROCE15%7

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA7.01

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ANAutoNation

Revenue FY25$27.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E+6%5

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 0.8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 0.8%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-25%1

3-month return-17%2

YTD return-24%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-28%2

3-year return+14%4

5-year return+32%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+14% over three years and +32% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 28% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-25%), over three months (-17%) and so far this year (-24%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AutoNation, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ANAutoNation

Revenue FY25$27.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E+6%5

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 0.8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 0.8%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-25%1

3-month return-17%2

YTD return-24%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return-28%2

3-year return+14%4

5-year return+32%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+14% over three years and +32% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 28% over the past year, now 34% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-25%), over three months (-17%) and so far this year (-24%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AutoNation, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community