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Ball Corporation (BALL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Ball Corporation

BALLMarket cap $15BPrice $57.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryPackaging

Manufactures aluminum cans that hold your soda, beer, and seltzer, producing over 100 billion units a year. As brands ditch plastic for sustainability, Ball's cans are becoming the go-to packaging worldwide.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+20%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+15%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+22%8

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin7%4

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.23

Efficiency

ROE17%7

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE53

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV2.65

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.4%7

Dividend Yield1.4%4

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-8%4

YTD return+9%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh85%6

1 year return+20%7

Long term

3 year return+30%4

5 year return-33%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility26%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield5.4%7

Quality

ROCE11%6

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA3.23

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BALLBall

Revenue FY25$13.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+15%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+22%8

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 0.5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-8%4

YTD return+9%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%6

1-year return+20%7

3-year return+30%4

5-year return-33%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 20% over the past year, but 15% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%) and so far this year (+9%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+30% over three years and -33% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ball. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BALLBall

Revenue FY25$13.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y+15%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+22%8

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 0.5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK30 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-8%4

YTD return+9%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%6

1-year return+20%7

3-year return+30%4

5-year return-33%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 20% over the past year, but 15% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%) and so far this year (+9%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+30% over three years and -33% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ball. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community