Loading stock…

Packaging Corporation of America (PKG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Packaging Corporation of America

PKGMarket cap $20BPrice $229.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryPackaging

Manufactures corrugated packaging and containerboard used to ship everything from Amazon boxes to produce crates. It's the third-largest player in the US, turning cardboard into a multi-billion-dollar business most people never think twice about.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+14%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+23%8

EPS Growth Y+2+26%8

EPS Growth Y+3+2%4

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin14%6

Net Income Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.75

Efficiency

ROE15%6

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE58

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)204

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)174

P/BV4.44

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd175

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.6%5

Dividend Yield2.6%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+2%8

3 month return+3%7

YTD return+14%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh89%8

1 year return+12%6

Long term

3 year return+61%6

5 year return+91%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility28%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield3.6%5

Quality

ROCE15%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.75

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

PKGPackaging Corporation of America

Revenue FY25$9.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE50 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+23%8

EPS growth, FY27E+26%8

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 23%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the long-term outlook is only average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG76 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%8

3-month return+3%7

YTD return+14%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high89%8

1-year return+12%6

3-year return+61%6

5-year return+91%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +61% over three years and +91% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 12% over the past year, but 11% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%), over three months (+3%) and so far this year (+14%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Packaging Corp. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

PKGPackaging Corporation of America

Revenue FY25$9.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE50 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+23%8

EPS growth, FY27E+26%8

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 23%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the long-term outlook is only average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG76 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%8

3-month return+3%7

YTD return+14%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high89%8

1-year return+12%6

3-year return+61%6

5-year return+91%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +61% over three years and +91% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 12% over the past year, but 11% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%), over three months (+3%) and so far this year (+14%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Packaging Corp. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community