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Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.

BOOTMarket cap $3.77BPrice $124.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells western and work wear — boots, denim, hats — through 400+ stores across the US. It's the largest western retailer in the country, riding the cowboy-core trend straight from rodeos to mainstream fashion racks.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-33%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+16%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+25%8

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+16%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin13%5

Net Income Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.25

Efficiency

ROE19%8

ROA10%9

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE57

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV2.85

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.1%5

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-19%1

3 month return-21%2

YTD return-30%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh59%2

1 year return-26%2

Long term

3 year return+55%6

5 year return+30%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.62

Volatility46%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield3.1%5

Quality

ROCE16%8

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.25

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BOOTBoot Barn Holdings

Revenue FY26$2.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG73 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

EPS growth, FY29E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 73% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 14%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK12 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-21%2

YTD return-30%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-26%2

3-year return+55%6

5-year return+30%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+55% over three years and +30% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 26% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-21%) and so far this year (-30%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BOOTBoot Barn Holdings

Revenue FY26$2.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG73 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

EPS growth, FY29E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 73% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 14%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK12 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-21%2

YTD return-30%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-26%2

3-year return+55%6

5-year return+30%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+55% over three years and +30% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 26% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-21%) and so far this year (-30%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Boot Barn Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community