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The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

The Carlyle Group Inc.

CGMarket cap $13BPrice $37.8

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Manages private equity, credit, and real estate funds for institutions and wealthy investors worldwide. Founded by DC insiders, it built its empire buying companies others overlooked, now overseeing hundreds of billions across nearly every asset class imaginable.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-32%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-1%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-8%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+59%9

EPS Growth Y+2+42%9

EPS Growth Y+3+14%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%3

Net Income Margin13%6

Free Cash Flow Margin-147%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+WEAK24

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)109

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)710

P/BV2.66

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd09

EV/EBIT Fwd09

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%3

Dividend Yield3.7%8

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-18%1

3 month return-12%3

YTD return-35%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh57%2

1 year return-36%1

Long term

3 year return+40%5

5 year return-10%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.81

Volatility37%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-147%1

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%3

Quality

ROCE3%4

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CGThe Carlyle Group

Revenue FY25$4.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y-8%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+59%9

EPS growth, FY27E+42%9

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 11%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 42%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 55% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 0.7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-18%1

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-35%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high57%2

1-year return-36%1

3-year return+40%5

5-year return-10%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+40% over three years and -10% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 36% over the past year, now 43% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-18%), over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-35%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on The Carlyle Group Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CGThe Carlyle Group

Revenue FY25$4.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-1%3

Revenue, next 1Y-8%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+59%9

EPS growth, FY27E+42%9

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 11%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 42%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 55% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 0.7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-18%1

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-35%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high57%2

1-year return-36%1

3-year return+40%5

5-year return-10%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+40% over three years and -10% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 36% over the past year, now 43% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-18%), over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-35%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on The Carlyle Group Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community