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Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.

CLFMarket cap $6.88BPrice $12.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Mines iron ore and manufactures steel for the automotive, construction, and infrastructure industries. It's the largest flat-rolled steel producer in North America, fully integrated from mining raw materials to finished sheet steel.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-9%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-7%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+16%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+20%5

EPS Growth Y+3-45%2

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-3%1

Net Income Margin-5%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA10.21

Efficiency

ROE-15%1

ROA-4%1

Earnings Stability11

GEAR+VERY WEAK3

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)233

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)262

P/BV1.29

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd421

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-12.5%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return+27%10

YTD return-9%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh72%4

1 year return-13%3

Long term

3 year return-22%2

5 year return-42%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta2.11

Volatility70%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-12.5%1

Quality

ROCE-3%1

Earnings Stability11

Net Debt/EBITDA10.21

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CLFCleveland-Cliffs

Revenue FY25$18.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E-45%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Modest Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE37 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+27%10

YTD return-9%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high72%4

1-year return-13%3

3-year return-22%2

5-year return-42%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+27%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-22% over three years and -42% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 13% over the past year, now 28% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Cleveland-Cliffs. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CLFCleveland-Cliffs

Revenue FY25$18.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+16%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E-45%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Modest Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE37 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+27%10

YTD return-9%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high72%4

1-year return-13%3

3-year return-22%2

5-year return-42%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+27%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-22% over three years and -42% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 13% over the past year, now 28% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Cleveland-Cliffs. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community