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Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Canadian National Railway Company

CNIMarket cap $70BPrice $115.8

Country🇨🇦Canada

SectorIndustrials

IndustryGround Transport

Operates the largest railroad network in Canada, moving freight across 20,000 miles of track from coast to coast. Hauls everything from grain to oil, generating revenue every time North America's economy moves goods.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+23%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+4%5

EPS Growth Y+2+7%6

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin41%9

Net Income Margin27%9

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.44

Efficiency

ROE22%8

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE63

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)204

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)184

P/BV4.63

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd144

EV/EBIT Fwd185

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.6%5

Dividend Yield2.3%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%5

3 month return-5%5

YTD return+19%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh88%8

1 year return+23%7

Long term

3 year return+16%4

5 year return+10%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility22%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Yield3.6%5

Quality

ROCE13%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.44

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CNICanadian National Railway

Revenue FY25$12.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+4%5

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

CNICanadian National Railway

Total return Current103%

Price return Current71.7%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%5

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+19%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high88%8

1-year return+23%7

3-year return+16%4

5-year return+10%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 23% over the past year, but 12% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+19%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+16% over three years and +10% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Canadian Railway . Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CNICanadian National Railway

Revenue FY25$12.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+4%5

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

CNICanadian National Railway

Total return Current103%

Price return Current71.7%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%5

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+19%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high88%8

1-year return+23%7

3-year return+16%4

5-year return+10%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 23% over the past year, but 12% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+19%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+16% over three years and +10% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Canadian Railway . Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community