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TFI International Inc. (TFII) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

TFI International Inc.

TFIIMarket cap $9.36BPrice $113.9

Country🇨🇦Canada

SectorIndustrials

IndustryGround Transport

Moves freight across North America through trucking, logistics, and package delivery, stitched together from dozens of acquired carriers. It's grown into one of the continent's largest transportation companies mostly by buying up smaller rivals, not building from scratch.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+22%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-4%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+21%8

EPS Growth Y+2+31%9

EPS Growth Y+3+12%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin7%3

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.44

Efficiency

ROE12%6

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK31

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV3.44

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd175

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.0%8

Dividend Yield1.6%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-17%1

3 month return-21%2

YTD return+12%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh68%3

1 year return+28%8

Long term

3 year return-4%3

5 year return+19%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.42

Volatility38%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield7.0%8

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.44

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TFIITFI International

Revenue FY25$8.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-4%2

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+21%8

EPS growth, FY27E+31%9

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 4%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TFIITFI International

Total return Current667%

Price return Current561%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return-21%2

YTD return+12%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high68%3

1-year return+28%8

3-year return-4%3

5-year return+19%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 28% over the past year, but 32% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+12%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-4.3% over three years and +19% over five), behind 60% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%) and over three months (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on TFI International Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TFIITFI International

Revenue FY25$8.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-4%2

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+21%8

EPS growth, FY27E+31%9

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 4%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TFIITFI International

Total return Current667%

Price return Current561%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK17 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return-21%2

YTD return+12%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high68%3

1-year return+28%8

3-year return-4%3

5-year return+19%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 28% over the past year, but 32% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+12%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-4.3% over three years and +19% over five), behind 60% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%) and over three months (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on TFI International Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community