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Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. (FND) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.

FNDMarket cap $4.88BPrice $45.8

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells hard-surface flooring — tile, wood, stone — through massive warehouse stores where contractors and DIYers buy direct. Skips middlemen entirely, sourcing straight from quarries and mills to undercut Home Depot on price and selection.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-36%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+15%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+3%4

EPS Growth Y+2+10%6

EPS Growth Y+3+16%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.04

Efficiency

ROE10%4

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY WEAK14

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)223

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)183

P/BV2.07

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd125

EV/EBIT Fwd243

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.3%6

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%5

3 month return-15%2

YTD return-25%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh59%2

1 year return-35%1

Long term

3 year return-47%1

5 year return-61%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.32

Volatility48%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield4.3%6

Quality

ROCE6%4

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA2.04

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

FNDFloor & Decor Holdings

Revenue FY25$4.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+15%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+3%4

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 6%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-15%2

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-35%1

3-year return-47%1

5-year return-61%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-47% over three years and -61% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 35% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-15%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

FNDFloor & Decor Holdings

Revenue FY25$4.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+15%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+3%4

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 51% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 6%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-15%2

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-35%1

3-year return-47%1

5-year return-61%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-47% over three years and -61% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 35% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-15%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community