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Hub Group, Inc. (HUBG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Hub Group, Inc.

HUBGMarket cap $1.61BPrice $26.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAir Freight & Logistics

Moves freight across North America by combining trucks, trains, and intermodal containers into one seamless logistics network. Hub Group pioneered intermodal shipping decades ago, and now helps retailers dodge highway congestion and rising diesel costs at scale.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-27%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-2%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-7%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+6%6

EPS Growth Y+2+15%7

EPS Growth Y+3+20%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin4%2

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin2%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.96

Efficiency

ROE6%3

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY WEAK6

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)204

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.7%5

Dividend Yield1.9%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-27%1

3 month return-42%1

YTD return-38%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh50%1

1 year return-26%2

Long term

3 year return-31%1

5 year return-23%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.23

Volatility50%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin2%3

Free Cash Flow Yield3.7%5

Quality

ROCE6%4

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA0.96

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HUBGHub Group

Revenue FY24$3.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y-7%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY25E+6%6

EPS growth, FY26E+15%7

EPS growth, FY27E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 15%/yr vs revenue 0.7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 0.7%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 93% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Revenue is set to grow 0.7%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-27%1

3-month return-42%1

YTD return-38%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high50%1

1-year return-26%2

3-year return-31%1

5-year return-23%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-31% over three years and -23% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 26% over the past year, now 50% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-27%), over three months (-42%) and so far this year (-38%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hub Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HUBGHub Group

Revenue FY24$3.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK7 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y-7%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY25E+6%6

EPS growth, FY26E+15%7

EPS growth, FY27E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 15%/yr vs revenue 0.7%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 0.7%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 93% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Revenue is set to grow 0.7%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-27%1

3-month return-42%1

YTD return-38%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high50%1

1-year return-26%2

3-year return-31%1

5-year return-23%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-31% over three years and -23% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 26% over the past year, now 50% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-27%), over three months (-42%) and so far this year (-38%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hub Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community