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LCI Industries (LCII) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

LCI Industries

LCIIMarket cap $1.95BPrice $80.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryAuto Components

LCI Industries makes components for RVs, trailers, and boats — think chassis, axles, and windows. It supplies nearly every major RV manufacturer in North America, making it the hidden backbone of the entire recreational vehicle industry.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-7%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-7%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-3%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+53%9

EPS Growth Y+2+10%7

EPS Growth Y+3+33%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin8%4

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.85

Efficiency

ROE15%6

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE41

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd79

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield14.7%10

Dividend Yield5.7%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-19%1

3 month return-19%2

YTD return-32%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh52%2

1 year return-6%4

Long term

3 year return-16%2

5 year return-29%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility36%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield14.7%10

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.85

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LCIILCI Industries

Revenue FY25$3.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK22 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y-3%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+53%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%7

EPS growth, FY28E+33%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 33%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 78% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-19%2

YTD return-32%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-6%4

3-year return-16%2

5-year return-29%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and -29% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-19%) and so far this year (-32%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on LCI Industries. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

LCIILCI Industries

Revenue FY25$3.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK22 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y-3%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+53%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%7

EPS growth, FY28E+33%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 33%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 78% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-19%2

YTD return-32%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high52%2

1-year return-6%4

3-year return-16%2

5-year return-29%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-16% over three years and -29% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 48% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-19%) and so far this year (-32%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on LCI Industries. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community