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Patrick Industries, Inc. (PATK) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Patrick Industries, Inc.

PATKMarket cap $2.14BPrice $66.6

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryAuto Components

Manufactures components and materials for RVs, boats, and manufactured homes — think cabinetry, countertops, and vinyl flooring. It supplies roughly 80% of North America's RV builders, making it the industry's hidden backbone.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-31%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-7%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-2%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+17%8

EPS Growth Y+2+21%8

EPS Growth Y+3+29%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin7%3

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.23

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK19

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV1.97

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd87

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.0%7

Dividend Yield2.8%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-20%1

3 month return-24%1

YTD return-38%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh46%1

1 year return-32%2

Long term

3 year return+48%5

5 year return+28%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility37%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Yield6.0%7

Quality

ROCE10%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA3.23

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

PATKPatrick Industries

Revenue FY25$4.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+17%8

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-20%1

3-month return-24%1

YTD return-38%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high46%1

1-year return-32%2

3-year return+48%5

5-year return+28%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+48% over three years and +28% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 32% over the past year, now 54% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-20%), over three months (-24%) and so far this year (-38%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Patrick Industries, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

PATKPatrick Industries

Revenue FY25$4.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+17%8

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 21%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-20%1

3-month return-24%1

YTD return-38%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high46%1

1-year return-32%2

3-year return+48%5

5-year return+28%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+48% over three years and +28% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 32% over the past year, now 54% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-20%), over three months (-24%) and so far this year (-38%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Patrick Industries, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community