Loading stock…

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.

MAAMarket cap $13BPrice $114.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorReal Estate

IndustryResidential REITs

Owns and rents out over 100,000 apartment units across the Sun Belt, betting on Americans moving south for jobs and lower taxes. That migration wave has made it one of the largest residential landlords in the country.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-12%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+1%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-14%3

EPS Growth Y+2-4%3

EPS Growth Y+3+6%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin27%8

Net Income Margin18%8

Free Cash Flow Margin46%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.62

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+WEAK25

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)382

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)351

P/BV2.56

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd153

EV/EBIT Fwd332

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Dividend Yield5.4%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-11%2

3 month return-16%2

YTD return-15%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh80%5

1 year return-12%3

Long term

3 year return-0%3

5 year return-28%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.48

Volatility19%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin46%10

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Quality

ROCE6%4

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA4.62

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MAAMid-America Apartment Communities

Revenue FY25$2.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-14%3

EPS growth, FY27E-4%3

EPS growth, FY28E+6%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 2%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 86% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -4%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-16%2

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high80%5

1-year return-12%3

3-year return-0%3

5-year return-28%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 12% over the past year, now 20% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-0.3% over three years and -28% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%), over three months (-16%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MAAMid-America Apartment Communities

Revenue FY25$2.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK14 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-14%3

EPS growth, FY27E-4%3

EPS growth, FY28E+6%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 2%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 86% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -4%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-16%2

YTD return-15%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high80%5

1-year return-12%3

3-year return-0%3

5-year return-28%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 12% over the past year, now 20% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-0.3% over three years and -28% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%), over three months (-16%) and so far this year (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community