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Modivo S.A. (MDV) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Modivo S.A.

MDVMarket cap $1.94BPrice $23.2

Country🇵🇱Poland

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells fashion and lifestyle products across Central and Eastern Europe through its online platforms, including Modivo and eObuwie. It's one of the region's largest e-commerce players, shipping over 20 million pairs of shoes a year to style-hungry shoppers.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-45%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+2%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+910%10

EPS Growth Y+2+70%10

EPS Growth Y+3+20%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-1%1

Net Income Margin-1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA5.61

Efficiency

ROE-17%1

ROA-5%1

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+WEAK16

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)223

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV3.74

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd135

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.7%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return-11%3

YTD return-25%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh54%2

1 year return-45%1

Long term

3 year return+137%8

5 year return-25%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Betana–

Volatility46%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield7.7%8

Quality

ROCE8%5

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA5.61

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MDVModivo S.A.

Revenue FY26$3.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE62 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+910%10

EPS growth, FY28E+70%10

EPS growth, FY29E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 62% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 8%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MDVModivo S.A.

Total return Current−53.8%

Price return Current−55.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high54%2

1-year return-45%1

3-year return+137%8

5-year return-25%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+137% over three years and -25% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 45% over the past year, now 46% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Modivo S.A.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

MDVModivo S.A.

Revenue FY26$3.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE62 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+910%10

EPS growth, FY28E+70%10

EPS growth, FY29E+20%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 62% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 8%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MDVModivo S.A.

Total return Current−53.8%

Price return Current−55.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high54%2

1-year return-45%1

3-year return+137%8

5-year return-25%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+137% over three years and -25% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 45% over the past year, now 46% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Modivo S.A.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community