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Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Opendoor Technologies Inc.

OPENMarket cap $2.20BPrice $2.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Buys homes directly from sellers, makes quick cash offers, then flips them back onto the market. Opendoor pioneered iBuying, turning home sales from a months-long ordeal into a tap-of-a-button transaction — though thin margins keep profitability elusive.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-68%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-35%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-13%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+27%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+17%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-16%1

Net Income Margin-47%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-15%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-197%1

ROA-52%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

GEAR+VERY WEAK3

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV2.46

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-21.5%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-26%1

3 month return-53%1

YTD return-61%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh24%1

1 year return-73%1

Long term

3 year return-11%2

5 year return-90%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta2.21

Volatility79%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-15%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-21.5%1

Quality

ROCE-24%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

OPENOpendoor Technologies

Revenue FY25$4.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-35%1

Revenue, next 1Y-13%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+27%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+17%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 27%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 27%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 17%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 59% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 35%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-26%1

3-month return-53%1

YTD return-61%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high24%1

1-year return-73%1

3-year return-11%2

5-year return-90%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-11% over three years and -90% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 73% over the past year, now 76% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-26%), over three months (-53%) and so far this year (-61%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Opendoor Technologies Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

OPENOpendoor Technologies

Revenue FY25$4.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-35%1

Revenue, next 1Y-13%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+27%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+17%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 27%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 27%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 17%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 59% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 35%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-26%1

3-month return-53%1

YTD return-61%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high24%1

1-year return-73%1

3-year return-11%2

5-year return-90%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-11% over three years and -90% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 73% over the past year, now 76% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-26%), over three months (-53%) and so far this year (-61%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Opendoor Technologies Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community