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Pool Corporation (POOL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Pool Corporation

POOLMarket cap $5.75BPrice $158.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryDistributors

Distributes swimming pool supplies, equipment, and outdoor living products to contractors and retailers worldwide. It controls roughly a third of the wholesale pool market, making it the biggest player in an industry with surprisingly little competition.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-44%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-5%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+13%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-2%3

EPS Growth Y+2+6%6

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

Efficiency

ROE31%9

ROA11%9

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE43

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV4.64

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.2%7

Dividend Yield3.3%8

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-15%1

3 month return-24%1

YTD return-29%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh53%1

1 year return-46%1

Long term

3 year return-50%1

5 year return-62%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility35%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield5.2%7

Quality

ROCE20%9

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

POOLPool

Revenue FY25$5.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE36 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-2%3

EPS growth, FY27E+6%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 36% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 2% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return-24%1

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high53%1

1-year return-46%1

3-year return-50%1

5-year return-62%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-50% over three years and -62% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 46% over the past year, now 47% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%), over three months (-24%) and so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Pool Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

POOLPool

Revenue FY25$5.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE36 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+13%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-2%3

EPS growth, FY27E+6%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 36% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 2% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK1 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return-24%1

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high53%1

1-year return-46%1

3-year return-50%1

5-year return-62%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-50% over three years and -62% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 46% over the past year, now 47% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%), over three months (-24%) and so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Pool Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community