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Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd. (600415) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd.

600415Market cap $9.06BPrice $1.7

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryDistributors

Runs Yiwu Market, the world's largest wholesale hub for small commodities, connecting millions of Chinese manufacturers to global buyers. Over 210,000 booths trade everything from socks to Christmas decorations, powering exports to 230+ countries.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-39%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+37%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+28%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+16%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+12%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+24%8

EPS Growth Y+2+22%8

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin23%8

Net Income Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.110

Efficiency

ROE21%8

ROA11%9

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+VERY STRONG100

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV2.75

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd89

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.5%8

Dividend Yield4.5%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-15%1

3 month return+8%8

YTD return-27%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh57%2

1 year return-38%1

Long term

3 year return+34%5

5 year return+163%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility39%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Yield7.5%8

Quality

ROCE20%9

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.110

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600415Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co.

Revenue FY25$2.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+37%10

Revenue, next 1Y+28%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+24%8

EPS growth, FY27E+22%8

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 22%/yr vs revenue 16%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 16%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600415Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co.

Total return Current51.1%

Price return Current32.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return+8%8

YTD return-27%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high57%2

1-year return-38%1

3-year return+34%5

5-year return+163%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +34% over three years and +163% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+8%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 38% over the past year, now 43% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%) and so far this year (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Commodities City. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600415Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co.

Revenue FY25$2.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+37%10

Revenue, next 1Y+28%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+24%8

EPS growth, FY27E+22%8

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 22%/yr vs revenue 16%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 37%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 16%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600415Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co.

Total return Current51.1%

Price return Current32.6%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return+8%8

YTD return-27%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high57%2

1-year return-38%1

3-year return+34%5

5-year return+163%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +34% over three years and +163% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+8%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 38% over the past year, now 43% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%) and so far this year (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on China Commodities City. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community