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Qantas Airways Limited (QAN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Qantas Airways Limited

QANMarket cap $9.30BPrice $6.2

Country🇦🇺Australia

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAirlines

Flies passengers and cargo across Australia and the globe, dominating domestic skies with roughly two-thirds market share. Founded in 1920, it's the world's oldest continuously operating airline, surviving wars, oil shocks, and pandemics that grounded rivals permanently.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-8%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+8%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+16%8

EPS Growth Y+2+33%9

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin9%4

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

Efficiency

ROE113%10

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE49

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV8.92

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd410

EV/EBIT Fwd89

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.5%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-1%7

3 month return-13%3

YTD return-9%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh82%5

1 year return-13%3

Long term

3 year return+98%7

5 year return+78%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility30%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.5%2

Quality

ROCE18%8

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

QANQantas Airways

Revenue FY26$17.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE41 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+33%9

EPS growth, FY29E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 41% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

QANQantas Airways

Total return Current59.9%

Price return Current40.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE43 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-9%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high82%5

1-year return-13%3

3-year return+98%7

5-year return+78%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +98% over three years and +78% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

It's down 13% over the past year, now 18% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Long-Term Winner, Cooling Off

Multi-year returns are elite even though the latest weeks are quieter. Often a quality compounder taking a breather rather than breaking down. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months and so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Qantas Airways Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

QANQantas Airways

Revenue FY26$17.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE41 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+33%9

EPS growth, FY29E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 41% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

QANQantas Airways

Total return Current59.9%

Price return Current40.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE43 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-9%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high82%5

1-year return-13%3

3-year return+98%7

5-year return+78%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +98% over three years and +78% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

It's down 13% over the past year, now 18% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-9%).

BOTTOM LINE

Long-Term Winner, Cooling Off

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Qantas Airways Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community