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Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Rail Vikas Nigam Limited

RVNLMarket cap $4.22BPrice $2.0

Country🇮🇳India

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConstruction & Engineering

Builds India's railway infrastructure — tracks, bridges, electrification, and stations — as the government's go-to execution arm for rail expansion. With a near-monopoly on major rail projects, it's turned public infrastructure spending into a steady, order-book-backed growth machine.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-47%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-4%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+11%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+10%6

EPS Growth Y+2+16%8

EPS Growth Y+3+34%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin4%2

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-9%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.62

Efficiency

ROE9%4

ROAna–

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+VERY WEAK13

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)401

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)262

P/BV4.24

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd461

EV/EBIT Fwd471

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.8%2

Dividend Yield0.9%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-13%3

YTD return-45%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh48%1

1 year return-43%1

Long term

3 year return+16%4

5 year return+601%10

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-9%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.8%2

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA4.62

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

RVNLRail Vikas Nigam

Revenue FY26$2.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE62 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-4%2

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+12%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

EPS growth, FY29E+34%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 12%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 12%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 62% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 4%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

RVNLRail Vikas Nigam

Total return Current1352%

Price return Current1063%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-45%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high48%1

1-year return-43%1

3-year return+16%4

5-year return+601%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +16% over three years and +601% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 43% over the past year, now 52% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-45%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Rail Vikas Nigam Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

RVNLRail Vikas Nigam

Revenue FY26$2.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE62 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-4%2

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+12%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

EPS growth, FY29E+34%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 12%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 12%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 62% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 4%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

RVNLRail Vikas Nigam

Total return Current1352%

Price return Current1063%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-13%3

YTD return-45%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high48%1

1-year return-43%1

3-year return+16%4

5-year return+601%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +16% over three years and +601% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 43% over the past year, now 52% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-13%) and so far this year (-45%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Rail Vikas Nigam Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community