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Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. (TDS) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.

TDSMarket cap $4.07BPrice $35.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryTelecommunication Services

Runs regional wireless and broadband networks across the US, quietly serving rural and mid-sized markets that bigger carriers often skip. This under-the-radar telecom has stayed independent for over 50 years while giants around it merged and vanished.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-8%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-39%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+1%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+1%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-3%1

Net Income Margin33%9

Free Cash Flow Margin-36%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.410

Efficiency

ROE12%5

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK9

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)2101

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV1.09

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd710

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-11.1%1

Dividend Yield0.5%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%4

3 month return+2%7

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh72%4

1 year return-10%3

Long term

3 year return+121%8

5 year return+111%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility29%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-36%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-11.1%1

Quality

ROCE-0%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TDSTelephone and Data Systems

Revenue FY25$1.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-39%1

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 1%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 39%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 1%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 1%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return+2%7

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high72%4

1-year return-10%3

3-year return+121%8

5-year return+111%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +121% over three years and +111% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+2%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 10% over the past year, now 28% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TDSTelephone and Data Systems

Revenue FY25$1.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-39%1

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+1%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 1%/yr from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 39%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 1%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 1%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE51 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%4

3-month return+2%7

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high72%4

1-year return-10%3

3-year return+121%8

5-year return+111%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +121% over three years and +111% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+2%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 10% over the past year, now 28% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community