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Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLK) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

TLKMarket cap $13BPrice $12.9

Country🇮🇩Indonesia

SectorTechnology

IndustryTelecom Services

Runs Indonesia's largest telecom network, connecting mobile, broadband, and data services to over 170 million subscribers. Majority state-owned, it dominates a market where half the population still comes online for the first time.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-28%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-3%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-4%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+6%6

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+4%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin24%8

Net Income Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Margin29%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

Efficiency

ROE14%6

ROA8%8

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+AVERAGE57

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)9801

P/BV1.97

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd310

EV/EBIT Fwd710

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield19.0%10

Dividend Yield7.3%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-13%1

3 month return-8%4

YTD return-35%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh58%2

1 year return-26%2

Long term

3 year return-38%1

5 year return-39%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin29%9

Free Cash Flow Yield19.0%10

Quality

ROCE18%8

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

Revenue FY25$8.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-3%2

Revenue, next 1Y-4%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+6%6

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+4%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 2%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

Total return Current−41.2%

Price return Current−55.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%1

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-35%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high58%2

1-year return-26%2

3-year return-38%1

5-year return-39%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-38% over three years and -39% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 26% over the past year, now 42% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%) and so far this year (-35%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Telkom Indonesia. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

Revenue FY25$8.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-3%2

Revenue, next 1Y-4%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+6%6

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+4%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 6%/yr vs revenue 2%/yr).

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 2%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 3%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

TLKPerusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk

Total return Current−41.2%

Price return Current−55.9%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-13%1

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-35%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high58%2

1-year return-26%2

3-year return-38%1

5-year return-39%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-38% over three years and -39% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 26% over the past year, now 42% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-13%) and so far this year (-35%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Telkom Indonesia. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community