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Valvoline Inc. (VVV) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Valvoline Inc.

VVVMarket cap $3.94BPrice $30.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Valvoline runs quick-lube service centers, changing oil and fluids in under 15 minutes without appointments. It sold its chemicals business to focus purely on retail services, now operating over 1,800 stores where cars leave faster than you can finish a coffee.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-11%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+21%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+22%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+7%6

EPS Growth Y+2+14%7

EPS Growth Y+3+22%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin17%7

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.62

Efficiency

ROE28%9

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG72

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)175

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV9.52

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.4%5

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%6

3 month return-21%2

YTD return+6%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh75%4

1 year return-11%3

Long term

3 year return-2%3

5 year return-1%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Yield3.4%5

Quality

ROCE13%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA3.62

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VVVValvoline

Revenue FY25$1.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 1Y+21%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+7%6

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+22%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 14%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK18 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return-21%2

YTD return+6%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high75%4

1-year return-11%3

3-year return-2%3

5-year return-1%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and so far this year (+6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-1.6% over three years and -1.3% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 11% over the past year, now 25% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Valvoline Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

VVVValvoline

Revenue FY25$1.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG84 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+11%7

Revenue, next 1Y+21%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+7%6

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+22%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 84% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

Revenue grew 11%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 14%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK18 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return-21%2

YTD return+6%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high75%4

1-year return-11%3

3-year return-2%3

5-year return-1%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and so far this year (+6%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-1.6% over three years and -1.3% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 11% over the past year, now 25% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Valvoline Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community