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Zillow Group, Inc. (ZG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Zillow Group, Inc.

ZGMarket cap $6.59BPrice $29.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Runs the biggest online real estate marketplace in the US, covering listings, mortgages, and rentals. Ditched its home-flipping business after losing over $500 million trying to out-guess the housing market.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-57%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+14%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+12%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+12%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+2452%10

EPS Growth Y+2+29%8

EPS Growth Y+3+29%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin3%2

Net Income Margin2%2

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.710

Efficiency

ROE1%2

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE40

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)108

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV1.58

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd87

EV/EBIT Fwd521

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.9%5

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-9%3

3 month return-10%4

YTD return-56%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh39%1

1 year return-56%1

Long term

3 year return-30%1

5 year return-67%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.13

Volatility49%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Yield3.9%5

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.710

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ZGZillow Group

Revenue FY25$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+12%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+2452%10

EPS growth, FY27E+29%8

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 12%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 29%/yr vs revenue 12%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-10%4

YTD return-56%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high39%1

1-year return-56%1

3-year return-30%1

5-year return-67%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-10%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-30% over three years and -67% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 56% over the past year, now 61% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%) and so far this year (-56%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Zillow Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ZGZillow Group

Revenue FY25$2.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+12%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+2452%10

EPS growth, FY27E+29%8

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 10%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 12%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 29%/yr vs revenue 12%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-10%4

YTD return-56%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high39%1

1-year return-56%1

3-year return-30%1

5-year return-67%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-10%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-30% over three years and -67% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 56% over the past year, now 61% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%) and so far this year (-56%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Zillow Group, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community