← Watchtower
September 17, 2026

It would take $2 trillion to bring US manufacturing and defense capacity back to its 2000s share of the economy.

Manufacturing has slid from 28% of GDP in the 1950s to 9% now. Analysts at Apollo are telling clients to own the rebuild: energy, semis, defense, rare earths and factory automation.

The capex winners are already this year's leaders.

Top 100 US industrials, YTD return:

šŸ”‹ Bloom Energy +211% $BE
šŸ”§ Comfort Systems +70% $FIX

šŸ”© ATI +65% $ATI

šŸ›£ļø Sterling Infrastructure +58% $STRL

šŸ”Œ Vertiv +48% $VRT

šŸ—ļø Quanta Services +47% $PWR

🚜 Deere +45% $DE